Saturday, November 24, 2007

Beating the House--Week 12


My apologies to anyone who follows this column as I was unable to post my picks for the games on Thursday...hope you all had a great Thanksgiving...perhaps not surprisingly, I went with all of the favorites so I'm off to good start already...the same can't be said for last week when I realized that I went with almost all of the favorites...the two dogs I really liked didn't cover so it made for a mediocre week overall but we're still hitting at a respectable clip...




Denver (+1.5) at Chicago--Bears played a decent game in Seattle and Cedric Benson actually looked mediocre...Broncos have strung two in a row together but I just don't like the matchup away from home...pick: Bears.




Tennessee (-1.5) at Cincinnati--Cincy has apparently sunk low enough in the oddsmakers eyes that they are getting points at home from a team that doesn't score with any real regularity...still think this team has something left...not much but something...pick: Bengals.




Buffalo (+9) at Jacksonville--Bills were humiliated on national TV and now have to travel to play one of the best defenses in football...Jags have made me a believer that they are quietly one of the best in AFC...no Marshawn Lynch again so no running game for Buffalo...pick: Jaguars.




Oakland (+5.5) at Kansas City--I've been giving the Raiders too much credit lately and they have let me down each and every time...not again...Chiefs played inspired ball against Indy and should bully the Raiders into several mistakes at Arrowhead...pick: Chiefs.




Houston (+3.5) at Cleveland--Browns are favored yet again and probably should be...Texans are a much different, and much better, team with Andre Johnson back...I like Schaub, Dayne and AJ do just enough to win this game in a squeaker...pick: Texans.




Seattle (-3) at St. Louis--Rams have killed me up until the last two weeks and I like them again here...this game should be a shootout and neither defense would scare me...team that has ball last is most likely the winner so let's give the nod to the home team here...pick: Rams.




Minnesota (+7) at New York Giants--It's too bad that we probably don't get to see Adrian Peterson or Brandon Jacobs, two runners with very different styles that are both fun to watch...Giants have the superior D and home crowd...Vikes = Yikes! on pass D...pick: Giants.




New Orleans (-3) at Carolina--Who would have thought that the Saints would be behind the Cardinals in the standings at this time of year? Time is running out for them and I still think they have enough firepower to make a run...pick: Saints.




Washington (+3) at Tampa Bay--What a difference a healthy Santana Moss makes to the Skins passing attack...Jason Campbell proved last week in Dallas that he can handle adversity on the road...Bucs are certainly playing well but I smell an upset here...pick: Redskins.




San Francisco (+10.5) at Arizona--The Cardinals have to be feeling pretty good about themselves right now and are playing well on both sides of the ball...the Niners have to be feeling pretty crappy about themselves in the same regard...pick: Cardinals.




Baltimore (+9) at San Diego--The Ravens managed to generate some points last weekend but that was against one of the worst defenses in the league...they are far from fearsome on defense as well...Bolts need this one after failing in Jacksonville last week...pick: Chargers.




Philadelphia (+24) at New England--All signs point to another blowout for the Patriots with Donovan McNabb sitting this one out...I've never been shy about laying crazy points before with this team but this is borderline ridiculous...going against the grain for once...pick: Eagles.




Miami (+16) at Pittsburgh--Another monster spread but this one doesn't scare me as much...Steelers have to take out their frustrations on someone after losing to the the Jets...even without Holmes and Polumalu, they should dominate on MNF...pick: Steelers.




Last Week: 9-7 To Date: 88-65-7

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